--> UPDATE: I am assuming Houston loses to SMU, Tulsa or Southern Miss. However, even if they don't, they won't play for the national championship unless every other team (except 1) has 2 losses.
SCENARIO 1
What if Oklahoma Beats Oklahoma State?
1) LSU (12-0) (Wins against Ole Miss, Ark, Georgia)
2) Alabama (11-1) (Wins against Georgia So, Auburn)
3) Oregon (12-1) (Wins against USC, Oregon St, ASU)
4) Oklahoma (11-1) (Win against Baylor, Iowa St, Oklahoma St)
5) Oklahoma State (11-1) (Wins against, Iowa St, Loss to OU)
6) Virginia Tech (12-1) (Wins against UNC, UVA, Clemson)
7) Stanford (11-1) (Wins against Cal, Notre Dame)
8) Arkansas (10-2) (Win against Miss St; Loss to LSU)
9) Boise St (11-1) (Wins against San Diego St, Wyoming, New Mexico)
10) Kansas State (10-2) (Wins against Texas, Iowa St)
11) Wisconsin (11-2) (Wins against Illinois, Penn St, Michigan St)
12) Clemson (11-2) (Wins against NC State, South Caroline; Loss to VT)
13) Nebraska (10-2) (Wins against Michigan, Iowa)
14) Georgia (10-3) (Wins against Kentucky, GT; Loss to LSU)
15) Michigan State (10-3) (Wins against Iowa, Indiana; Loss to Wisconsin)
16) South Carolina (10-2) (Wins against Citadel, Loss to Clemson)
ROSE BOWL: #11 Wisconsin vs. #3 Oregon
SUGAR BOWL: #5 Oklahoma State vs. #12 Clemson
FIESTA BOWL: #4 Oklahoma vs. #7 Stanford
ORANGE BOWL: #6 Virginia Tech vs. #? WVU
SCENARIO 2
What if Arkansas Beats LSU?
Post Championship Game Weekend Rankings
1) Oklahoma State (12-0) (Wins against, Iowa St, OU)
2) Alabama (12-1) (Wins against Georgia So, Auburn, Georgia)
3) Oregon (12-1) (Wins against USC, Oregon St, ASU)
4) Arkansas (11-1) (Win against Miss St, LSU)
5) LSU (11-1) (Wins against Ole Miss; Loss to Georgia)
6) Virginia Tech (12-1) (Wins against UNC, UVA, Clemson)
7) Stanford (11-1) (Wins against Cal, Notre Dame)
8) Boise St (11-1) (Wins against San Diego St, Wyoming, New Mexico)
9) Oklahoma (10-2) (Win against Baylor, Iowa St; Loss to Oklahoma St)
10) Kansas State (10-2) (Wins against Texas, Iowa St)
11) Wisconsin (11-2) (Wins against Illinois, Penn St, Michigan St)
12) Clemson (11-2) (Wins against NC State, South Caroline; Loss to VT)
13) Nebraska (10-2) (Wins against Michigan, Iowa)
14) Georgia (10-3) (Wins against Kentucky, GT; Loss to LSU)
15) Michigan State (10-3) (Wins against Iowa, Indiana; Loss to Wisconsin)
16) South Carolina (10-2) (Wins against Citadel, Loss to Clemson)
ROSE BOWL: #11 Wisconsin vs. #3 Oregon
SUGAR BOWL: #4 Arkansas vs. #12 Clemson
FIESTA BOWL: #9 Oklahoma vs. #7 Stanford
ORANGE BOWL: #6 Virginia Tech vs. #? WVU
I love this scenario! Still, the key will be in seeing if LSU falls below Arkansas. I think they would, since Arkansas would have just beaten them and the pollsters heavily penalize recent losses, putting Alabama in the SEC championship game. The interesting thing is that Arkansas would automatically qualify if they finish #4, meaning that LSU would be left out!
SCENARIO 3
Now for a fun and very unlikely scenario! Here is what needs to happen in order for VT to make the NCG!
The first step in this process is that either Oklahoma State or LSU have to lose twice. Oklahoma State has no chance of losing to Iowa State and LSU has no chance of losing to Ole Miss. So the only chance is for LSU to lose to Arkansas, still make the SEC championship game and then lose again to Georgia. In order for LSU to still make the championship game, Arkansas needs to lose to Miss State (who has probably faced the toughest schedule in the SEC thus far and could easily pull this off). This will also serve to eliminate Arkansas from the picture.
Additionally, Oklahoma State needs to beat Oklahoma, Auburn needs to beat Alabama, and USC, Oregon State or Pac12 South Champion needs to beat Oregon. Then VT needs to beat Clemson in the ACC Championship game. In the end here is what the standings would most likely look like (I went through the changes in the standings week by week to figure them out; that is why Alabama is #5 even after losing to Auburn and Boise stayed back at #9)
1) Oklahoma State (12-0) (Wins against, Iowa St, OU)
2) Virginia Tech (12-1) (Wins against UNC, UVA, Clemson)
3) Stanford (11-1) (Wins against Cal, Notre Dame)
4) Oregon (11-2) (Wins against Oregon St, ASU; Loss to USC)
5) Alabama (10-2) (Wins against Georgia So; Loss to Auburn)
6) Oklahoma (10-2) (Win against Baylor, Iowa St, Loss to Oklahoma St)
7) LSU (11-2) (Wins against Ole Miss; Losses to Arkansas, Georgia)
8) Arkansas (10-2) (Win against LSU; Loss to Miss St.)
9) Boise St (11-1) (Wins against San Diego St, Wyoming, New Mexico)
10) Georgia (11-2) (Wins against Kentucky, GT, LSU)
11) Kansas State (10-2) (Wins against Texas, Iowa St)
12) Wisconsin (11-2) (Wins against Illinois, Penn St, Michigan St)
13) Clemson (11-2) (Wins against NC State, South Caroline; Loss to VT)
14) Nebraska (10-2) (Wins against Michigan, Iowa)
15) Michigan State (10-3) (Wins against Iowa, Indiana; Loss to Wisconsin)
16) South Carolina (10-2) (Wins against Citadel, Loss to Clemson)
BCS CHAMPIONSHIP GAME: #1 Oklahoma State vs. #2 Virginia Tech
ROSE BOWL: #12 Wisconsin vs. #4 Oregon
SUGAR BOWL: #10 Georgia vs. #3 Stanford
FIESTA BOWL: #6 Oklahoma vs. #5 Alabama
ORANGE BOWL: #13 Clemson vs. #? WVU
The orange bowl could choose Alabama here and very well might, due to how low ranked Clemson would be. If that did happen, I think that Clemson would be chosen by the Sugar bowl with Stanford in the Fiesta.
This is so nutso.
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