"Most Likely": Week 3

Here is Version 2 of my weekly “Most Likely” weekend preview, where I ask 5 questions of my top 15 teams.  As a review here are the dallas hokie PowerRankings: Week 2.

Note: Preface each statement with “The team most likely to…”

Get upset (must be a 10+ point line): ALABAMA– Remember, this is the big upset category and that is what it would be if Arkansas one this game.  But just remember a few things, Arkansas was a top 10 team coming into this game and they are playing at home.  Alabama might actually overlook Arkansas this week and give them a chance. 

Pull the starters in the 2^nd quarter:  OREGON - This was actually a tough choice this week, with so many top teams playing some pretty easy games.  However, I chose Oregon because they are one of the most explosive teams in the NCAA and are playing a FCS team travelling across 3 time zones.   

Look worse than their ranking: FLORIDA STATE – Look for FSU to come out rocky in their first game against decent competition.  Plus, this is an ACC game, and you can usually count on those games to be closer than expected.  Plus Wake is coming off of an impressive and unexpected win against UNC and has beaten FSU 4 out of the last 6.  FSU wins but looks sloppy in the process.

Look better than their ranking: USC – I know they are currently ranked #2 (and have been all season in my book), but I think that this week they put pressure on Alabama for that #1 spot and get a few additional votes.  I think Alabama is in a no-win situation this week in that they are playing a pretty tough team that no one is expecting to be very good. 

Climb into the top 15: FLORIDA – I have the gators winning at Tennessee this week and think they jump a few spots with the win.  

"Most Likely": Week 2

I've got a new weekly post I’m starting this week called “Most Likely”.

I will be asking the same 5 questions each week about my personal top 15 teams concerning their upcoming games. Hopefully, It will be a fun way to preview the games each week. 

Note: Preface each statement with “The team most likely to…”

Get upset (must be a 10+ point line): SOUTH CAROLINA – I really wish that I had Wisconsin in my top 15 because that would be the easy pick here, but since they aren’t I am going to have to go with the Gamecocks.  They are playing ECU this week and I've seen what ECU can do early in the season against the big boys.  This could be a possible game to keep an eye on. 

Pull the starters in the 2^nd quarter:  FLORIDA STATE - This is an easy one this week with FSU playing Savannah State who lost to OSU last week by  84. 

Look worse than their ranking: SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA – They are flying across country and will be playing at 11:30 AM PST.  Syracuse is coming off of a rough loss and will be hyped for this game.  USC will lose ground this week to Oregon in the rankings. 

Look better than their ranking: GEORGIA – People are thinking that Mizzou will be out for blood this week against the Dawgs, but I think Georgia impresses this week and shows everyone that they are the team to beat in the SEC East.

Climb into the top 15: OKLAHOMA STATE – While I really don’t see anyone falling out of the top 15 this week, if anyone does OSU will be there to take their spot.  I see them winning big against Arizona.  If one team were to fall out, it might be Nebraska with having to go to UCLA and already being on the cusp at #14.  

Check out my week 2 picks here!

BCS Projections

As promised from yesterday, here are my Preseason BCS Projections for this coming year.  

Keep in mind that again this year the Orange Bowl has the last pick of teams, so they will most definitely be stuck with the Big East champion.  Fiesta gets the first pick.  Keep a lookout tomorrow, for the first ever Dallas Hokie Power Rankings! 

BCS Title Game:  USC (Pac-12 Champ) over LSU (SEC Champ)

Rose Bowl: Oregon (At-Large) vs. Michigan (B1G Champ)

Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma (Big12 Champ vs. Florida State (At-Large)

Sugar Bowl: Georgia (At-Large) vs. Michigan State (At-Large)

Orange Bowl: Virginia Tech (ACC Champ) vs. South Florida (Big East Champ)

If you want to see my thoughts on these pics, check out yesterdays Conference Race Projections.

College Football Picks: Week 12 Review

Last week I improved and went 8-5 against the spread and 9-4 straight up.  I also went 4-1 on my high confidence picks with my only loss being on Clemson. 

A few notes on the picks:

I did pick USC and Kansas State to win in upsets and Michigan and Miami to win in toss-ups (line within 4pts).  I also called BC, UVA and Baylor to be closer than expected.

Also, check out Scenario 3 in this post of BCS projections and read my thoughts on the BCS here.