College Football Picks: Week 1

It’s the first week of the season and I have my first set of picks against the spread.  I don’t bet these picks, but I feel pretty confident about them and would if I had some spare coin.  I’ll star (*) 3 or 4 that I’m the most confident in.  I am also forcing myself to pick all top 25 matchups and any conference ACC or Big12 games. 

Tomorrow, I will be submitting a sweet new post that I am super excited about! I will be getting my incredibly witty wife, Mrs. dallas hokie, to share her thoughts on the upcoming College Football season.  You’ll see that she really knows what she is talking about.  I know guys; I totally hit it out of the park with this one.  In the meantime, check out her blog here.  

This post is Day 4 of college football preview week.  Check out Days 1-3 here:

1) Conference Race Projections
2) BSC Bowl Projections
3) Power Rankings

Enough with the intro, here are the picks!

Michigan State -7.0 over Boise State – Boise lost too much talent last year and while they have a decent team filling those spots, MSU is just too big up front on defense and will win big at home. 

* Navy +15.5 over Notre Dame – While Navy still loses this game, Notre Dame isn’t back and they don’t have a proven QB.  This first game will be rough for ND against a Navy team that has given them fits over the past few years. 

* Penn State -6.5 over Ohio – The betters have pushed this line down significantly over the week.  That is due to their lack of confidence in Penn State coming out of their off season probation mess.  I don’t think they are going to be that bad and will easily beat Ohio by a TD. 

Miami -2.5 over BC – Miami is bad… BC is terrible.  I don’t see BC winning a conference game this year.

* Clemson -3 over Auburn – I am really high on Clemson this year.  Sadly this means I think they beat VT later in the season, but it also means they beat Auburn in Atlanta. 

* Duke – 3 over FIU – Duke is back! Well, not really, but I think this is the year they finally put together some ACC wins.  They won’t beat anyone good, but will surely beat FIU by more than a FG.

Michigan +14 over Alabama – Alabama will win this game.  But, since I am high on Michigan this year, I’ll take them to make this game closer than expected.  Also, it should be noted that this line has risen 3 pts over the week, meaning that Vegas thinks Michigan will make it closer than 14 pts.  And Vegas is usually right…

Virginia Tech -7 over Georgia Tech – I will put out a full game preview this weekend and break down this game a little more.  But for now, I think VT comes out strong.  I think their offense shines and outscores GT.  I can see a score similar to last year.  Right now I’d say VT 31 GT 21.  That could change over the weekend though.  

College Football Picks: Week 11

I’m off to a late start this week due to the VT game on Thursday and the Penn State Scandal.  So these picks are a little slim on my reasoning.  But, this is the first week that I’m going to pick against the line to make it a little more interesting.

ACC

Clemson -17 over Wake Forest – Clemson is too good and will bounce back big from their loss to Georgia Tech.

NC State -2 over Boston College

Duke +10 over Virginia – UVA wins this game, but its closer than expected

Miami +9 over FSU – again, FSU wins but closer than expected

Maryland +20.5 over Notre Dame – That is too many points for Notre Dame, whose only win of 20 or more points game against Navy.  Maryland is bad, but not that bad… Right?

Top 25

Oregon +3.5 over Stanford – Oregon wins this one outright.  They are too fast on offense and defense for Stanford. 

Nebraska -3 over Penn State – I don’t think Penn State stands a chance against Nebraska today.  The truth of the matter is that they weren’t able to prepare properly for this game and I didn’t even think they would win in the first place.

Auburn +12 over Georgia – I think Georgia wins this one, but not by as much as Vegas thinks.

Big 12! New this week!

Missouri +1.5 over Texas – Mizzou wins this one at home.  I really don’t think Texas is any good this year.  Their three conference wins are against Iowa, Kansas and Texas Tech.  

Oklahoma State -20 over Texas Tech – Wow that’s a lot of point to give up, but its really just 3 TDs.  OSU can score that in a half quarter!

Baylor -20.5 over Kansas – KState gives up 45 ppg and only scores 24… Going by this stat, I’ll give the points here.

Kansas State +5.5 over Texas A&M – A&M goes up big like usual, then K state will come back to make it close.  I’d take KState to win a close one at home.